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RolStoppable said:

In 2007 the PSP sold 11,620,945 units (number until week ending January 6th). This was achieved with a price drop, introduction of a new model and several bundles. I think it's unlikely that the PSP will sell more in 2008 than it did in 2007. If we assume it sells at the same rate, the system will hit 40m in November. But personally I expect the PSP to fall short of 40m by the end of this year.

Considering the demand for the Wii (especially in America) it's unlikely that Nintendo would drop its production rate of 1.8m per month. If anything they are going to increase it in preparations for launches in new regions. But for now let's just assume the production rate stays where it is for the whole year. That's 21.6m units which are all likely to be sold. The Wii is pretty much guaranteed to hit 40m by the end of this year, if not clearly more.

So my answer is: Wii will hit 40m before the PSP.


Thanks for the analysis. Can't wait to read your weekly column in the Wall Street Journal!

 

Rol, FTW!