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ioi said:

How exactly do they propose to have measured or estimated "active userbase"?

They released only a PR not providing how they estimated that.

You can see the report If you are a client or but it for $6,999.

Report topics
1 Executive Summary
2 Games Consoles: an Review on the Demand and Ownership
2.1 An Update on Current Platform Performance
2.2 An Update on Installed Based and Ownership
2.3 Active Installed Base Estimate
2.4 Platform Life Cycles
3 A Review of Uncertainties and Potentials
3.1 Uncertainties
3.1.1 Cloud Based Gaming Services
3.1.2 Mobile and Portable Platforms
3.2 Potentials
4 Update on Platform Competition and Forecasts
4.1 Microsoft's Xbox 360
4.2 Nintendo's Wii
4.3 Sony PlayStation 3
4.4 Updated Console Market Forecast Scenarios
4.5 Outlook for the Next Generation
5 Updated Games Console Market Forecasts
5.1 Annual Global Sales Forecasts by Platform 2000-2016
5.2 Annual Installed Base Forecast by Platform 2000-2016
5.3 Annual Sales Forecasts by Platform and Region 2005-2016
5.4 Annual Installed Base Forecasts by Platform and Region 2005-2016
6 Conclusions
7 Contact the author of this report

http://www.strategyanalytics.com/default.aspx?mod=ReportAbstractViewer&a0=6222

 

I don't belive in their data but I can't say it bullshit too because they have a point.