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Sales - WW 25th march up! - View Post

CGI-Quality said:
Pineapple said:

What's with this new trend of people just posting what they think is the case, when they can just use 30 seconds and check the data?

People like to ignore the data because speculation seems to work for them (or so they think). Just look at what happens with GT5!

This sounds hypocritical..

I think it's because people are lazy. To have to verify data for every single thread? GJ with the table, I should have looked at the YoY comparisions made by VGC before vaguly stating that PS3 sales are 15-25% lower YoY. I should have said 5-25%.

Regardless I still think both PS3 and 360 will sell 13-14 million in 2011. 15 million is possible for both, but honestly, a 7 year peak for 360? Realistically, since 360 does gain a lot of sales during the holidays season, no one can be absolute about their view until the year is over. Even then, large scale adjustments are likely to occer.

I don't think the overall sales difference between the two HD consoles will vary significantly, but at the rate it's going now I think PS3 will outsell 360 slightly. A price cut will boost both HD consoles sales, but since HD console sales are still strong, a price cut is not garenteed, or will likely not be any greater then $50. Also I think 360 has a better chance of outperforming its 2010 figure then PS3 does, which would imply that overall sales for both consoles will be close.

Focusing on my error in YoY down values is being nitpicky, and a cheap opportunity to attack my credibility (for those who did). The point is because YoY sales are down for PS3, and that 360 will not likely surpass it's second semester sales this year, expecting PS3 and 360 to peak in sales again is a bit excessive, but it's definatly possible. A 7 and 6 year peak is shocking if you ask me, it defies trends set by older generations. It would imply that PS3 WW sales break away from the PSP trend it's been following since launch (which also peaked in 5 years, then began to drop), and imply that 360 annual sales surpass PS2's for year 7.



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