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No way the Wii can survive till 2015 against Ps3 and 360. The Wii's biggest advantage (in my mind) has always been its price. It was $250 when PS3 was $500-$600 andd 360 was like $400 or something like that. Once all the consoles are under $200, which I gotta think will be by late 2012, there will really be no good reason (besides Mario/Zelda) to buy the wii since its not HD and it no longer has a huge price advantage. 

Just my opinion anyways. The Wii is already starting to falter, its losing to PS3 by a lot each week in Japan, losing in America to the 360 and losing in EMEAA to PS3. 

I really think the Wii should have a big price drop this fall to like $150 so it can dominate one last holiday season and then they can release the Wii 2 in late 2012.