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themanwithnoname said:

Rage should be very likely. Portal 2 should be maybe.


I'd have put Rage under very likely if it came out next month, but the release date is sometime in the middle of September. Furthermore it's a new IP and it's more of a singleplayer game.

I think Brink has better chances to reach 1m this year.

 

Portal 2.... that's really hard to judge but a lot of people bought The Orange Box and got portal Still Alive and this time it's a full fledged game with a full co-op campaign. Needless to say it's surely going to be a GOTY contender and coming out next month. Should be enough time.