Worldwide up!

[Michael-5]

MightyGrogg said:

CGI-Quality said:

MightyGrogg said:

You are forgetting one thing. When GT4 was out it has wat more PS2 sold to consumers then what the PS3 has now. GT5's legs won't be the same as GT4. GT4 was also a lot more popular in the U.S. then GT5 is now. So it's legs will rely mostly on EMEA sales. Japan GT5 sales are dismal right now.

Actually, GT5 is performing on par with GT4 in the Americas (it only has to reach 2.8mill there to catch GT4 and it's already at 1.61mill (at a similar rate to GT4). It's only real blunder is Japan (which EMEAA will make up for and then some).

How many PS2 were in sold at this time period? How many PS3 are sold in same time period. Was there a recession and economical problems at that time period when GT4 was out? How many more do they need to sell in EMEA & JAPA?GT5 is at 6 million. It has to sell another 4.5 million copies to catch GT4. Unless Sony does a couple more bundles during the holidays, I do see them reaching that goal. They should hit 8 million maybe, but by June total sales will be below 10K a week worldwide.

I've done the math on this. For GT5 to sell just 10 million units it needs to sell 79% as well as GT4 for the reamining weeks. Recently the attach rate has dropped slightly below 80%, but it's still too early to tell where it's going to stablize. I think GT5 sales will likely stabilize around 60% of GT4's remaining weekly sales, so to me an 8.5-9.4 million ranges seems likely. 8 million is a bit low, Forza 3 sold 1.8 million units since last year at this point, but 1 million were due from bundling. Still GT5 should be able to do at least double Forza 3's weekly sales, so 8 million should be a bare minimum, if and only if all things went sour for PD.