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Sales - EMEAA up - View Post

pezus said:
Michael-5 said:
pezus said:

Michael-5: what have you got to say about GT5's sales now that they have been adjusted up by a lot?

They were adjusted by 400k, that's not a lot. GT5's sales still dropped significantly post holiday season, weekly sales are still tracking at about 2/3rds GT4's sales, and at this rate, it's still going to fall within my predicted gap of 8.5-9.4 million lifetime sales

So...being adjusted up by over 400k is not enough to have an effect on your prediction? Your prediction should have changed according to the adjustments but you still insist it won't reach 10 million. 

I made a prediction before the game was out and alalyzed weekly sales knowing adjustments happen. I'm sticking with it because I think before the adjustment the game was highly unlikely of breahing 10 million sales. However with this adjustment it makes the higher end of my prediction (9.4 million) look significantly more favorable then my low end (8.5 million). Remember, this adjustment is only 7%.

BTW, before I calculated GT5's sales likely to be 9 million, if it continued to match hold a 67% weekly sales ratio with GT4. That ratio is now 79% post holiday season, but it will likely go down due to the shift in release times (summer sales are more stable then spring sales, GT5 will drop, but GT4 will not). Also GT4 has not been sold during a holiday window, so it should shift to GT4's favor by the end of the year.

However, if GT5 can hold exactly 79% weekly sales of GT4. It will just cross 10 million units sold. So it's definatly a lot more possible now then before the adjustment. So I can see why some people are so adament about 10 million post adjustment. I however am not.



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