mchaza said:
Conegamer said:
mchaza said:
SaviorX said:
Gilgamesh said:
I think around the end the Wii and PS3 are going to be damn close for Japan sales. Both very roughly around 15 million.
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??? lol
PSTriple has been around about 4.5 years now an is just about to hit 6.5 million units. How long is it gonna take for that other 8-8.5m to come around?
Shoot, Wii is probably gonna peter out at 13.75m.......
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ps3 has around 5 years more to go before ps4 even then it will be continued for around few more years. so it possible for the PS3 to reach 15 million in japan. But for the wii i doubt it because the Wii2 will release next year and halt sales but its possible.
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You just keep telling yourself that...
Its past its peak now and is in decline. And there's few great games on the horizon that will appeal to the Japanese market.
I see the PS4 being out in 2013/2014, not 2016/2017 as many people predict. No way can it get more than 40% market share in Japan, even if Wii stopped selling now it would only just about reach that milestone...
So Wii will be at around 62%, PS3 around 32% and 360 around 6% IMO
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if the ps3 sells 20,000 an week for 5 years it will sell 5.2 million.
sure i might of been optimitic for it to reach 15 million but 10 million sure.
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But what are the chances, no matter how slim, it sells 20k a week for the next 5 years?
Let's also assume that, on average, Wii sells around 15k for the next 3 years, and 10k after that (including holidays). Using your logic (which sounds unlikely) The gap over the nexy 5 years will close by around 2million, if that.
So the market share for both won't change dramatically. Those people who are saying it'll drop below 45% are insane 
