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Sales - EMEAA Up - View Post

CGI-Quality said:
Michael-5 said:

Well you probably analyse GT5 more then me because anytime I say anything Negative about this game in particular you seem to be on me. However, didn't you notice that before the holidays ended, GT5 was selling about the same, if not a little better then GT4. Then after the holidays the ratio dropped significantly? Why aren't GT5 weekly sales remotly close to GT4's anymore now that the holidays are over? Holidays ended 5 weeks after GT5 launched, sales then halved the next two weeks, and then lowered much quicker then GT4. Week 7/8 were the last weeks GT5 sales were reasonably close to GT4's and ver since then the ratio has been dropping?

They are still stong, a lot of haters predicte 6 million, and I'm sure a lot of your comments entitled "GT5' success is making haters eat crow" are aimed towards them. However you know I predict a far more reasonable 8.5-9.4 million, and you know I base my opinion on VGC sales data directly. You may disagree with me, but your 100% right in stating that neither of us are wrong at this time.

I'm only presenting my side of the arguement, and I do predict strong sales for GT5. Why does this game have to cross 10 million? Most signs point to this game not breaking 10 million, but 9 million is still good. Why is 10 million some magical number loyal PS3 followers want GT5 to cross?

I say these comments about Halo Reach about as often as well, why don't people call me on those, why is GT5 so much touchier of a subject?

Paragraph A: You answered your own question. GT5 launched during a holiday period, of course it's sales aren't going to remain as high as GT4 did without a holiday (EU/US - GT4 released in Dec 2004 in Japan). But one last time, GT4 is irrelevant because I never claimed that GT5 would pass it.

Paragraph B: Your prediction just recently changed to a "reasonable" 8.5-9.4 million. The minute the numbers were higher than you thought during the holidays (which you said), the prediction changed. That fit comfortably with my main point to you, that you could end up wrong for lifetime numbers as well.

Paragraph C: Nobody said it has to cross 10 million, but you keep saying "all signs point to it not crossing 10 million", but never have anything other than mere speculation and claims that it has to somehow "perform like GT4" to do so. I've presented the flip side, because I don't believe there are any "signs" to prove that it can't.

Final sentence:  I admit, I don't chase down your post history at every opportunity, but then again that's not relevant anyway.

A: I know you never claimed GT5 will surpass GT4 sales, but in order for GT5 to surpass 10 million, it must hold sales relativly close to GT4's. That why I keep referencing it.

B: My prediction changed when numbers came in? I originally predicted 8.5 million about 6 months before launch. A few weeks before launch I said 9.4 million, and you quoted me on that in that prediction thread. Since launch I've been giving a range of 8.5-9.4 million, and I do that because it didn't start off as strong as I thought it would have.

C: GT5 could pass 10 million sales, if I sound offensive in any way it's because every time I say it probably won't I get 8 people, largely Sony fans, jumping on me, telling me VGC has this one game in particular undershipped. If the game is undershipped I don't think the numbers would be that different. Also in no way do I want to change your opinion, I just want people to accept mine, instead of throw it out the window because "I just don't understand how games sell."

D: It's irrelevent, but I do get A LOT more hostility towards GT5.

In the end, I'm prediction about 9.4 million, but I think it may undershoot that by a little. You predicted almost 10 million exactly. Does that 1 million difference matter? I hope as critical as I am about GT5, you understand I have to be because if I wasn't people would just tell me "I'm wrong, the majority of people here think your wrong."

Anyway, your right about something though, those people who predicted 6 million lifetime are eating crow. At the same time, those people predicting 15 million are also eating crow.



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