CGI-Quality said:
Paragraph A: You answered your own question. GT5 launched during a holiday period, of course it's sales aren't going to remain as high as GT4 did without a holiday (EU/US - GT4 released in Dec 2004 in Japan). But one last time, GT4 is irrelevant because I never claimed that GT5 would pass it. Paragraph B: Your prediction just recently changed to a "reasonable" 8.5-9.4 million. The minute the numbers were higher than you thought during the holidays (which you said), the prediction changed. That fit comfortably with my main point to you, that you could end up wrong for lifetime numbers as well. Paragraph C: Nobody said it has to cross 10 million, but you keep saying "all signs point to it not crossing 10 million", but never have anything other than mere speculation and claims that it has to somehow "perform like GT4" to do so. I've presented the flip side, because I don't believe there are any "signs" to prove that it can't. Final sentence: I admit, I don't chase down your post history at every opportunity, but then again that's not relevant anyway. |
A: I know you never claimed GT5 will surpass GT4 sales, but in order for GT5 to surpass 10 million, it must hold sales relativly close to GT4's. That why I keep referencing it.
B: My prediction changed when numbers came in? I originally predicted 8.5 million about 6 months before launch. A few weeks before launch I said 9.4 million, and you quoted me on that in that prediction thread. Since launch I've been giving a range of 8.5-9.4 million, and I do that because it didn't start off as strong as I thought it would have.
C: GT5 could pass 10 million sales, if I sound offensive in any way it's because every time I say it probably won't I get 8 people, largely Sony fans, jumping on me, telling me VGC has this one game in particular undershipped. If the game is undershipped I don't think the numbers would be that different. Also in no way do I want to change your opinion, I just want people to accept mine, instead of throw it out the window because "I just don't understand how games sell."
D: It's irrelevent, but I do get A LOT more hostility towards GT5.
In the end, I'm prediction about 9.4 million, but I think it may undershoot that by a little. You predicted almost 10 million exactly. Does that 1 million difference matter? I hope as critical as I am about GT5, you understand I have to be because if I wasn't people would just tell me "I'm wrong, the majority of people here think your wrong."
Anyway, your right about something though, those people who predicted 6 million lifetime are eating crow. At the same time, those people predicting 15 million are also eating crow.
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