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Pavolink said:
Mummelmann said:

If it gets outsold for the entire year otherwise, it really won't matter in the totals. It was supposed to have a flat year in 2010 according to everyone and their grandmothers and ended up around one million above my much flogged 17 million prediction.

Like I said; winning the holidays might not net you the overall win for an entire year. The fact that it is becoming nearly irrelevant in Japan won't be of much help either.

And the year hasn't ended. So we don't know any strategies that the companies have. Is doing very good against redesigns, new controllers and lot of quality games. We don't know what could be annunced tomorrow, in two weeks, or any day along the year.

We may very well end up with a threeway virtual tie, its not unlikely. But I don't think the Wii has any real chance of significantly outselling either HD console this year unless they start taking measures very soon. If they don't do anything till fall/winter there may simply be too much ground to cover.

About Japan, I forgot to add; all home consoles will be irrelevant within two years time there, handhelds are simply stealing the entire market.