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[Michael-5]

ethomaz said:

Michael-5 said:

Conegamer said:

ethomaz said:

Conegamer said:
I reckon it'll end up around the same as Halo 3 LT...

For me over 10m sure but less than Halo 3 (11.4m).

That was my first prediction for Reach.

I think it will be close...

Dropping off FAR too quick for my liking. I wonder if the same will happen with GT5, though, it doesn't look like it ATM

GT5 already had a steep drop off. Haven't you noticed it's already out of the top 10, and that it's weekly sales are about half GT4's? GT4 was in the top 10 for about 25 weeks, selling 90k weekly, GT5 is like 20th selling 50k now.

That not true.

Reach already tracking below Halo 3 like GT5 but GT5 will begin t o track above GT4 soon... and yet had adjustments to be made in GT5 sales.

And GT4 was below 90k after 10 weeks... after 25 weeks GT4 was selling 30,615.

Stop showing wrong data to people. You know week 25 for GT4 is week 25 just in Japan... week 17 in America and week 15 in EMEAA.

And if you don't know how much GT4 sold every week I can show to you:

#	GT4
1	2,523,055
2	1,000,378
3	510,176
4	326,608
5	231,662
6	178,044
7	137,261
8	120,989
9	102,768
10	92,089
11	80,643
12	77,354
13	67,939
14	60,955
15	55,236
...	...
25	30,615

False, Reach is tracking 430k above Halo 3 at this time.

Stop presenting false data!! :P joking.

GT5 is tracking 66% as well as GT4, and except for last week, sowed no signs of reducing that ratio. Even last week, GT5 was only tracking 71% as well as GT4, and I recall PS3 had discounts on the 160Gig model, so that would likely have affected sales.

Also I know GT4 dropped to 30k after about 25 weeks. My 90k number was using 12 weeks after Americas launch (which was only 2 weeks off from EMEAA, didn't think the difference would be that different, and it really isn't). The actual number was about 77k like you have shown. What's your point?

GT5 will drop too, probably faster because January is a higher software selling month then June.

Also remember GT4 did not go through it's first holiday season with that above data. In fact 25 weeks is just before the holiday season starts in EMEAA, funny you stop your data at 25 weeks. Do sales pick up immediatly after that as GT4 enters its first holiday season in EMEAA and Americas? Do you think GT5 can match GT4's sales in it's second holiday season compared to GT4's first?

Look closer at these figures, you can see why my prediction of 8.5-9.4 million makes complete sence.