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BenVTrigger said:
Conegamer said:
BenVTrigger said:
Conegamer said:
Xen said:

GoW 3 for FW, Zelda for LT.

Pretty much the consensus, yeah

And where are people making numbers of sub-6mil for SS coming from exactly?

And I'd also like to see through the crystal ball which tells people SS will be a waste of time, UC3 will be awesome and GOW3 will outsell the rest of the franchise

 

So you expect Skyword Sword to be the highest selling Zelda ever other than Ocarina of Time? Twilight princess only did 5.8 million I don't really see much reason why Skyword Sword will do more than 6.5 million maybe 7 at most lifetime.  Can you please explain to me where the huge boost in the series popularity will com from?

Gears 3 will outsell the rest of the franchise for pretty obvious and simple reasons.

1.  Every "large scale" shooter this gen has increased its sales with each iteration due to the spread of online multiplayer and word of mouth about playing competitive online.

2.  It features more modes, characters, and just about everything than any previous Gears title.

3.  Many who purchased the game pre-owned are now fans and will increase the games initial buys.  Don't be fooled, every single game in the database has been sold to FAR more people than VgChartz can track by due to used sales.

4.  Its MS flagship title for the holidays and will get an IMMENSE marketing campaign probably along the lines of what Halo 3 did.  MS marketing has pushed sales of just about everything they've poured serious advertising into and Gears will be no different.

5.  Cliff and Epic have already announced this is the end of the story of Delta Squad and that while there may be more games inthe Gears universe this will be the end point of the trilogy and their story.  Hardcore fans will be buying the heck out of it to see how it all ends for Marcus and Dom.

No, I expect SS to sell around the same as TP, i.e. the Wii and GC versions combined

So I reckon around 7.5mil at the end, due to a higher install base and the graphical style appeals to the Wii's audience

(Just because it's the last in the trilogy doesn't mean it'll neccessarily sell better, Halo:Reach hasn't...)

And lots of games have had more features, better ad campaigns, higher install base, and have either done worse or the same. Galaxy 2 is a good example, it'll end up around the same as the original (10mil). That's awesome sales, but with everything going for it, why weren't there more?


Couple problems with your post.

1st.  Halo Reach has sold more than Halo 3 did in the same amount of weeks.

Yes, but the gap isn't as bi as I expected, and it isn't growing. Who knows if it'll outsell it in the end?

2nd.  Obviously there was overlap between the Gamecube and Wii versions of Twilight Princess. 

Not THAT big...

3rd.  Galaxy 2 isn't comparable to Gears at all in terms of increasing userbase.  Galaxy is a sinlge player driven experience only and isn't going to significantly outsell its predessor due to the fact that in a way its more of the same.  Granted that is an EXCELLENT platforming experience but still should sell in line with Galaxy 1 due to there not being an extensive change in gameplay or forumla.  Gears 3 will outsell Gears 2 due to the expansion of Online multiplayer.  Every sinlge other large scale shooter this gen has outsold its predessesor and its for one main reason only, the online capabilities.

OK, agreed. It doesn't have the online functionality, but it is a game where the sequel didn't sell better than the original, despite being better, having a larger userbase, and having better advertising...

Of course, this is all just speculation ATM



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.