PS3 American Nightmare

[johnlucas]

OriGin said:
At this rate it's still going to take the 360 2 months to crack 10 million. With Wii selling almost 1 million a month World Wide at the moment I think John Lucas' prediction that Wii will overtake 360 by the end of July will come true... quite honestly it could possibly happen sooner than that... 3 months the Wii has and it's less than 3 million behind at the moment... if it keeps up (and it is likely too even go UP) I can't see much doubt in this prediction. You know what, I'm going to go along with Lucas on this one... Wii has caught 360 so fast!!!

I love ya OriGin!

See when I make predictions I look into multiple hypothetical scenarios and cross-reference them with the status of direction in the real. I pay attention to how people feel and how they may act. Hard to explain but trust me I don't pull stuff out of my ass when I predict. Believe me I've thought about it thoroughly.

When stuff sells good, production will increase. Nintendo is not showing itself to be an incompetent company so there's no reason to think they can't increase projections. Believe it or not this success even surprises them. They have to be conservatively cautious with production figures. And that conservatism means that they keep eagle eyes on those dollars. They don't waste a red cent. Which clues me in to why they won't delay in production increases once they get a feel for how the system is doing. They will underestimate some more but they will match better than they did before. See how I think?

XBox 360 is stalling. Australia and North America are its only viable regions. Elite won't move real numbers like people think. Think about it. Going UP in price? Only some will buy and it will give it a mild spark. A spark that won't last naturally. It's going to be 6 months soon since they made that 10 million announcement and they still haven't gotten past the 9 million bar yet in all this time. In honesty XBox 360 is simply doing OK. It's very mortal and won't maintain against the Wii which is an unheralded phenomenon. Immortal against mortal. This is where the power lies brotherrrrr.

NEVER use conventional thinking when viewing the Wii. It is designed EXACTLY out of the same philosophy as the DS. They are twin linked phenomena. The same strategy in both handheld and console form. This is why I call it the WiiDS Phenomenon.

End of year once again Wii will have sold AT LEAST 20 million worldwide. At *least*. My best case scenario is actually 24 million. This holiday season is about to be absolutely sickening. Absolute madness. It will make you wonder if Nintendo's launching all over again. The Christmas get for 2006 AND 2007. The numbers from September to December will be unheard of. Christmas shopping season all around the world and it will stay strong throughout the summer beforehand as well. Remember, that's when Wii unleashes its online play and the kids are all out for the summer. They will break the rule of the summer drought.

Wii- AT LEAST 20 million worldwide

XBox 360- Not past 13 million range worldwide (just under 14 million range at best case scenario)

PS3- at peak optimism just past 7 million worldwide

 

Wii will pass 360 in North America within month of July.

Metal Gear Solid 4 will NOT go to PS3

PS3 won't make it out alive past 2009.

Sony will have massive layoffs and downsizings.

Sony may jettison its game division altogether.

Wii and DS will be the best selling game systems of all time.

 

Now let's see how accurate I am on these. I always love to say it before it's time. It's my way. It's what I do.

John Lucas