You're criticizing me for not tracking data well when I'm not doing the data. All I do is guess based on what Brett provides on VGC and what the companies are providing. What I do is look at our data, and the historical ratios to shipment figures for my estimates. I look at every quarter every year for each company and I am aware of the differences between the companies - I can only do what the data shows though.The problem is I can't "learn" from the percieved biases of the data because when mistakes are made it is adjusted. If PS3 is upped 1m last year, I don't see that when I check the figures for estimating this year - its now much closer, and so I have to assume the current figures are closer because of the previous adjustments. I don't have the time or patience to write down the hundreds of minor adjustments which would be necessary to remember how the original data in years past compared to shipment figures.
We're never going to have a 2m difference between all consoles for sell through and shipments - the companies have different policies on inventory, it isn't a bias.
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
