Why are you calling my guesses over tracking? They're guesses, do you not understand that I just look at VGC data, estimate retail stock and then guess how many more systems it would take to hit the totals VGC has?
Sony's sell through was down 800,000 in the USA and Japan and shipments were down 200,000 from Oct-Dec 2009 to Oct-Dec 2010. Microsoft shipments are the result of not forecasting Kinect well - they changed from 3m to 5m to 8m in the span of 2 months and so they didnt know whether to ship a ton of bundled Kinects with X360 or a ton of X360s and standalone Kinects. Nintendo's shipment figures are exactly in line with the drop off in sell but I had guessed they'd be able to squeeze some more in once retailers saw the 10 fold European and USA weekly sales jumps from September to mid-December. The DS / Wii hw errors also reflect the fact that Nintendo lowered its hw projections for each, and I didn't get the impression they would from our data. I'm not consistently high or low on anything either:
Wii: Underestimated SW shipped (80m - total sw shipped = 85m)
Overestimated HW shipped (9.4m - Nintendo shipped = 8.7m)
DS: Underestimated SW shipped (42m - total sw shipped = 44m)
Overestimated HW shipped (10m - Nintendo shipped = 9m)
PS3: Underestimated HW shipped (6m - Sony shipped 6.3m)
Underestimated SW shipped (55m - total sw shipped = 58m)
PSP: Dead on for HW shipped (3.7m / 3.7m)
Dead on for SW shipped (16m / 16.5m shipped)
PS2: We can't fully track sw due to games not showing up in earlier years - purely a guess on my part but I was close. HW was close - just a bit low.
X360: Overestimated HW shipped (7.5m / Microsoft shipped 6.3m)
I don't know really see what I'm supposed to tell you - I guessed 38.5m systems shipped and the reality was 36.1m shipped. Thats a 6.3% error. I was only 5.2% off on SW between the Nintendo / Sony platforms. I don't really see how I can be accused of anything when I missed by 0-8% on sw & hw for 5 of the 6 platforms.
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
