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trestres said:
Smashchu2 said:

Nintendo wil announce one when they think the competition will (Sony). The 3DS is a testement to that. They show it off at E3, and Sony reveals the NPG in January of this year. Nintendo knows it will be death if they release it late. Expect it in 2012 to 2014, which is a resonable window for when competion may enter.

Nintendo will not do it as a result of laging sales. Nintendo's strategy is release game, and they have mentioned it everytime they talk about their Wii sales. This year is the year where they will have the software ready to try and start growth (stallled do to the 2 year development cycle of games).


That 2 year cycle thing is nonsense, Nintendo always has games in the works, is not as if they had just 2 teams ready which work strictly for 2 years in a game. Nintendo is doing as much as it can in regards to slowing sales, but the aging component also comes into play here. Nintendo cannot reverse a trend that simply, so it's alraedy time to stop believing Wii sales will explode once again due to some "magic hardware driving software". No such thing exists. NSMBWii didn't manage that on its own in 2009, price cut and new colors came into play too. I think you are overestimating what Nintendo can or cannot do, and no, there's no such thing as the 2 year cycle.

Games take about 2 years, though it can very depending on the project and it's probably longer for the HD twins. This means if Nintendo had a goal for any project, it would have to have been two years back. The Wii declined in early 2009. This means any software made as a response to this would have been started, at the earliest, in early 2009. Two years from that point is early 2011.

Look at the major games Nintendo released in the last two years and you'll see what I mean.

  • Wii Sport Resort
  • Wii Fit Plus
  • New Super Mario Bros Wii
  • Punch-Out
  • Super Mario Galaxy 2
  • Metroid: Other M
  • Kirby's Epic Yarn
  • Wii Party
  • Donkey Kong Country Returns

The two bolded are probably the only games made to try to combat this problem, as they would take the shortest time. Wii Party may have been made for this goal, but Nintendo likely never had high expectations for it since they announced it before E3. Outside of Donkey Kong Country Returns, none of these titles would boost software sales. Most of these games entered production when Wii sales were still good.