Michael-5 said:
I think your giving too much credit to the average consumer, people in general are dumb. When people see a new Uncharted, Gears, Halo, Forza, or Gran Turismo title, it's a system seller regardless. I'm just getting a Wii now and Super Mario Galaxy 2 was one of the games that pushed me over. Yes a sequel because I now know I can get 2 3D Mario titles, but in reality DKCR, Metroid Prime 3, and Pikmin 3 were really bigger factors. Twisted Metal, and The Last Guardian are not well heard of games to those who don't already own a PS3. They are library filling titles, for either franchise fans, or people who are well aware of the PS3 library. I mean the tie ratio for the more modern home consoles (PS2, PS3, 360, Xbox) is about 10, meaning the average PS3 owner owns 10 games, for the person without a PS3 so far, chances are they won't get more then 10 games, and I just don't see Twisted Metal being so impactful that it will lure new console buyers. I say this as a big TM fan (I own TM 1-4, Black, Small Brawl and Head On for the PS2). The Last Guardian will bring in new gamers, but again I see this as a library filling title, a must have game for those who are well informed. This is not going to be a blockbuster hit (in terms of sales), and increase the popularity of the Playstation image that much. Halo and Gran Turismo on the other hand are more then just games, they are trends in culture. I'm not a big CoD fan, but all my friends play it, so I got Black Ops. A lot of people who have friends who own a 360, who maybe love Gears of War, maybe passed on the 360 for one reason or another in the past (too expensive, waiting on a price cut, waiting for reliability to go up, or a slim model, etc) might be tempted to play. It's like in movies, if they made an Avatar 2, a lot more people would go see the movie just based off name then a different AAA title. Even if they never seen the first, everyone else has and is planning on seeing the second. Hype builds sales, so naturally the bigger budget, high volume hyped games will sell the most consoles. So Uncharted 3 is by far the biggest System seller the PS3 has. I mean LBP2 is bigger then TM, and 360 still outsold the PS3 (marginally) on the launch week on LBP2. I think a similar situation will happen for Killzone 3, as well as TM, The Last Guardian, Mech Warrior, XCOM, Prey 2, InFamous 2, and so on. MechWarrior will likely be a timed exclusive, I agree, but we don't know for certain. A lot of games people thought would be timed exclusive, stayed exclusive. E.G. The Last Remnant, and se far Splinter Cell Conviction. So for now it's fair to say exclusive. I mean I beleive FFXIII Versus will also eventually go multiplatform, but I don't stop calling it a PS3 exclusive, not at all. Also no PS3 is not outselling the 360 on a weekly basis, 360 was on shortages in the start of January due to the increased volume of sales in the christmas period. Haven't you noticed the 360 had a steep drop at the start of January and been leveling off more slowly then all the other consoles? MS themselves said that shortages won't be met until at earliest February, so in reality the 360 is outselling the PS3 now, but not by much. 2011 PS3/360 games: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=3875415 Tell me if I missed any or if you disagree on how well each game will sell. |
Blame it on shortages all you want the fact is ps3 outsold 360 as for your other points there are alot of twisted metal fans, and there hasn't been a twisted metal out since ps2 (same with GT5) Last Guardian is a bit of a wild card, it already has more hype and attention then it should, and it has it because it's predecessors were such high quality, also shadow of the collosus was the last big ps2 game, so anyone who has a ps2 who has played those games will be looking at a ps3 and it can easily be a factor in tipping anyones scale through sheer uniqueness and high praise as for Uncharted and Killzone the only people I can see new titles to is 360 owners, at anyrate I feel Sony has all their basis covered, and MS is seriously lagging they have a few games that MIGHT become noteworthy (some of it MS themselves has no stake in) but I just don't see it coming close to beating Sony's line-up and frankly I don't see how you can either, the few games that might be 360 exclusive and might be released in 2010 we know next to nothing about it could be last remenant all over again (was just too bad and did too poorly to bother finishing the port) and conviction hasn't been on the market for a year yet so that could still go, MS has had several year exclusives (to the day)