jarrod said:
Rounding up known potential 1st party lineups this year for the home consoles...
Xbox 360
- Codename D (Grasshopper Manufacture) - No Clue
- Codename: Kingdoms (Crytek) - 1 million at least
- Dead Island (Techland) - 500k
- Demons of Mercy (MAXUM Games) - No Clue
- Dungeon Hero (Firefly Studios) - 500k
- Forza Motorsport 4 (Turn 10 Studio) - 3 million
- Gears of War 3 (Epic Games) - 4 million
- Gears of War Exile (Epic Games) rumored Kinect title - 500k or more
- Halo: Combat Evolved (343 Industries) rumored remake - 4 million or more
- Haunt (NaNaOnSha) - 500k or less
- Huxley: The Dystopia (Webzen Games) - No Clue
- Mech Warrior (Piranha Games) - 500k or less
- Project Draco (Grounding Inc. / Land Ho!) - 500k or more
- Prey 2 (Human Head Studios) - 500k or less
- Star Wars Kinect (LucasArts) - 1 million
- Steel Batallion (CAPCOM) - 500k or more
PlayStation 3
- DC Universe Online (Sony Online Entertainment) - 500k
- ICO & Shadow of the Colossus Collection (Japan Studio) - over 500k
- inFamous 2 (Sucker Punch!) - over 1 million
- Killzone 3 (Guerrilla Games) - 2 million
- LittleBig Planet 2 (Media Molecule) over 2 million
- MotorStorm: Apocalypse (Evolution Studio) over 1 million
- PlayStation Move Heroes (Nihilistic Software) - 500k or more
- Ratchet & Clank: All 4 One (Insomniac Games) - 1 million or more
- Resistance 3 (Insomniac Games) - over 1 million
- Sly Cooper 4 (Sucker Punch!) rumored - No Clue
- S.O.C.O.M. U.S. Navy SEALs 4 (Zipper Interactive) - 500k or more
- Sorcery (The Workshop) - 500k or more
- Starhawk (SCEA studio) rumored - No Clue
- The Last Guardian (Japan Studio) - 1 million or more
- Twisted Metal (EatSleepPlay) rumored - 1 million or more
- Uncharted 3: Drake's Deception (Naught Dog Software) - 3 million
- Until Dawn (SCEE studio) rumored zombie game - No Clue
- White Knight Chronicles II (Level 5) - 2012 outside of Japan - 500k
- Yakuza 4 (SEGA) - under 500k as it was released in Japan in 2010 and has weak sales outside of Japan
Wii
- Dragon Quest Monsters: Battle Road Victory (Square Enix / 8ing)
- Fatal Frame: Crimson Butterfly (Tecmo Koei)
- Mario Sports Mix (Square Enix)
- Pikmin 3 (Nintendo EAD) rumored
- Pokemon Battle Revolution 2 (Genius Sonority) rumored
- Rhythm Heaven Wii (Nintendo SPD)
- The Last Story (Mistwalker / AQ interactive)
- The Legend of Zelda: Skyward Sword (Nintendo EAD)
- Xenoblade (Monolith Soft)
...overall, I'd expect Nintendo and MS to fill out a bit more, and some of Sony's to slip to 2012, but this probably gives us a decent working idea for each this year.
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I think MS's Kinect Lineup is still pretty bare for 2011. Watch, MS will release some Kinect branded Fitness, Party, or Banjo Kazooie game.
Adding up the #'s I randomly assigned to 360/PS3 games. 360 is at 13 million (plus) whatever Kinect, Fable, Reach and other MS games bring in (plus) 4 million for a potential Halo remake.
PS3 is at 16 million (plus) whatever GT5, GoW3, Sports Champions and other Sony games bring in.
Since Kinect is so damn huge, it looks pretty even to me, If Halo does come out in 2011, MS will most likely see stronger software sales on its exclusives in 2011 then Sony. It really depends on how well Kinect performs this fall, and what software MS releases for it.
