Now? No.
They shipped around 4.90 mill this Jan-March Q last year if I believe, this year they forecast 2.3 mill, that's down over 2.6 million .. more than half.
In terms of shipments ...
Q4 2010 - 84.6
Q1 2011 - (2.3) = 86.9
Q2 2011 - 3.0 same period last year, so I expect around (2.0) = 88.9
Q3 2011 - 1.8 same period last year, so I expect around (1.4) = 90.3
So that means they need to ship 10.7 million in Q4, to reach 100 million units sold to consumer (assuming around 1 mill on shelves, transport ect)
8.7 to 10.7 ... that's a 2 mill rise over last xmas, whilst it's very doable with a price cut, I think it'll just miss and end up something like 99 - 99.5
105 is completely illogical and out of the question. It's quite obvious at this point the Wii is following the same sales pattern as a normal console. It's 360 and PS3 that are having the abnormal sales, so any more price cuts from Wii will only sustain, not dramatically raise sales.
