*Prediction__Wii to sell 105 Million End Of 2011!*

[thx1139]

Immortal said:

thx1139 said:

If it makes you feel better. 

YoY Wii is trending down 30% that would put the Wii at 13M for the 52 week year.

Add an extra 600K for the last week of the year (Wii did 636K this year).

Add an extra million because of price drop last qtr of the year.

14.6M for the 53 week period

You seriously think that the decline will stay at 30%? Really?

Wanna bet that Wii'll sell less than 15m without a price cut and 17m with one this year?

Yes.  Nintendo already cut the amount they expect to sell through March 31st down to 16M.  I cant imagine that the numbers will reverse. 

Why?

More competition.  Kinect is the hot piece of hardware and the more it gets tried the more it will hurt the Wii. Move will as well, but just a smaller impact.  Wii no longer has motion control advantage.  Wii dropped as much as it did this past year with more than 3/4s of the year as the only motion control based system.

At 85M consoles sold no piece of software will move any additional hardware of signifigance.

Smaller available customer base.  Again with the high success already less people to sell to.

All consoles will have price cut this year.  I also expect that when the Wii price cut happens 1 game will be removed from the bundle.  For Nintendo it is now time to maximize profits and the lower the price of the console the fewer titles bought so giving away an extra game really cuts into new software sales.