*Prediction__Wii to sell 105 Million End Of 2011!*

[thx1139]

*Sound Of Rain said:

thx1139 said:

OK so new information this week.

First Nintendo lowered estimates for shipments through March 31st 2011 from 17.5M to 16M (had previously lowered from 18M to 17.5M).

Second adjustments occurred on the site and for the time period the OP poster is talking about in 2010 the Wii sold

18,563,777

Third weekly numbers came out for this week and Wii was down 37% YoY. 

The Wii is now 634,190 behind last years pace which ended at 18,563,777.

OP predicted Wii to sell 22.1M through December 24th 2011 (52 weeks starting December 26th 2010). If Wii stopped declining and acted exactly like 2010 the rest of the way the total would be 17,929,587.  So to hit the 22.1M the Wii needs to sell 4.2M more the remainder of the year compared to last year.  That is roughly an 87,000 weekly increase over last year when so far this year Wii is averaging a 158K weekly decrease compared to last year.

You gave the wrong dates...I said 2011 sales by my standards which IMO is by the ended date. So my prediction is for the week ending January 1st to the week ending December 31st. Yes that is 53 weeks but that is what my prediction is for...22.1 Million in those 53 weeks. 

What is your prediction for Wii sales for those 53 weeks? Your keeping a tab on mine to prove me wrong in the end so what is your prediction to see who is closer? I have a feeling you will play it safe and put a # not too high but not too low but thats your choice.

For those 53 weeks I am thinking the Wii will sell around 14M-15M.  Nintendo adjusted this FY down to 16M.  Wii is in decline as all consoles go through so another 1-2M less seems right. I am keeping a tab on this thread.  There were other prediction threads, but this one was started just for this one prediction.