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I think it'll be very close. Really, releases are the only thing which wil make a difference. As you said, the Wii has the Last Story this month, and it's bundled as well. But that will likely only be a short-term effect. I see it like this:

  • IF Skyward Sword, The Last story, Dragon Quest X and a price cut for Wii, Wii win own
  • If nothing changes, they'll be little difference. One week here, one there...
  • IF only the PS3 gets a price cut, or some killer Move games, maybe PS3 will edge it
Since the top scenario is most likely, I'll say Wii will likely just edge it


 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.