Xbox360 to be in second place in this wks sales

[Michael-5]

Icyedge said:

Michael-5 said:

Icyedge said:

Michael-5 said:

 

Actually Microsoft said shortages are to experienced throughout January and February, and they said at the very earliest to expect shortages to stop by February. 166% of PS3 sales in Americas is normal, maybe even a bit low for the 360. I recall seeing it sell 2:1 after the 360 Slim, and I think after shortages are over it should sell about that much better in the Americas due to the popularity of Kinect. It's very unusual to see a game outsell the console 11 weeks after it's release, so I really feel shortages are still in effect.

166% isnt low by any mean, its one of the highest difference. 2:1 was right after the slim release. Feel free to compare using the tool's website, 166% isnt low. The week before was lower then this, it was about 133% if I remember well. Doesnt seem like shortages have a quantifiable effect as of now.

166% is normal for the Americas region. I just expect it to be a bit higher due to Kinect. I mean 150k Kinect adventure sales, 125k 360 sales? However you are right though, this week I've been seeing a stronger supply of 360's, and a 2:1 ratio is probably unlikely. Lets see what happens in next weeks data.

166% isnt normal. It got around that range only after Kinect release. Before that, PS3 was outselling 360 for a good year. Sure there was the slim revision effect but this never last long. So yes, Kinect does have a great effect on sales. But, at 166%, the kinect effect is there. I think there was only 2 weeks since the Kinect release (first week and christmas week), where the difference has been higher then 166%. Like I said in the last post, there is tools on the website where you can look that up for yourself.

Personally, im not trying to downplay anything. Selling 166% of the competitors in a specific market is extremely good result. Simply pointing that this result is similar then before the said "shortages". Hell, its even higher then the week before.

2010 cumulate sales in Americas: 360 = 8.5 million, PS3 = 5.5 million. 360 outsold PS3 by 54%

After Kinect 360 sales sky rocketed, on the week ending christmas (arbitrary week a month after Kinects release), 360 outsold the PS3 by 89% (775k compared to 410k). So No 360 sales in America have been near double PS3 sales for over a month after Kinect, and now the ratio drops when MS calls a shortage? Hm..

The holiday season is over, but Kinect demand is still high, 66% is a normal lead for 360 in Americas considering Kinect is still new.

I just expect 360 sales to be a little higher in America. In EMEAA Kinect sales are roughly the same as 360 sales, but in Americas Kinect is selling almost 30k above the 360. Microsoft said themselves that they are experiencing shortages, and at best case, those shortages won't be met until February.

So I still think the 360 will outsell the PS3 by a small margin worldwide for a long while coming. Wii and DS sales tend to drop lower then 360 and PS3 sales during the regular year (probably because PS3 and 360 are more hardcore consoles), so the 360 does have a reasonable chance to come in first worldwide. However I think the 3DS will steal that lead soon enough.

Of course the ratio is better this week then lasts, some stores are getting new shipments, so shortages are less severe.

Still 1st on the console front is very possible. You don't have to agree, but I've made my opinion clear and backed it up with sufficient reasoning.

P.S. Before the 360 Slim, the 360 was still outselling the PS3 in Americas, even after the PS3 Slim. However the difference was only about 20-30%, instead of the prior average of 50%.