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The other way to estimate USA totals is by comparing PS2 & Xbox & GC to Wii & X360 and PS3

                  PS2 / Xbox / GC             Wii / X360/ PS3

2000                  1.1m                                0.6m                    2005

2001                 8.8m                                 5.7m                    2006

2002                 13.8m                             13.5m                    2007 (PS2 / Xbox price cuts in 2002, PS3 / X360 cuts in 2007)

2003                 12.7m                             18.4m                    2008 (X360 price cut)

2004                 11.0m                              18.7m                   2009 (Wii / PS3 price cut in 2009)

2005                 9.4m                                18.2m                   2010 (Kinect. Would have been 16m w/ a normal X360 year)

2006                 5.9m                                16.5m?                 2011

2007                 4.1m                                13.6m?                 2012

2008                 2.5m                                 9m?                      2013

Overall it doesn't look like the real crash is coming until after year 8 (2012) for current systems - it was more like after year 5 last generation. I'm calling the "crash" fewer than 10m current systems in a year.



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu