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Immortal said:
pachoo5 said:

I think you are wrong. I don't think Wii even passes 100 million by the end of 2011, selling only about 14.5M units in the year.

My new prediction for total Wii sales worldwide over its lifetime is 118M. I think Wii sales will continue to plummett from here.

Why after a near record holiday season and with $125 (possibly more) of price cuts left would it do that?

I think Wii sales will continue to decline as casuals start buying an almost equally priced Kinect instead of the Wii and current Wii owners upgrade to 360s or PS3s (and former potential Wii owners skip Wii altogether to go 360/PS3).

The Wii has dropped in sales twice in a row:

2008 - 23,998,032

2009 - 21,802,884

2010 - 19,137,679

The trend should continue as I believe the casual market continues to get saturated with Wii units. There aren't many potential buyers left IMO. And, the Wii technology is getting pretty long in the tooth (more and more households are going HD and the Wii just doesn't cut it as a true HD experience).

My 2011 prediction for Wii is that the downward trend in sales accelerates and only 14.5M units are sold worldwide.