*Prediction__Wii to sell 105 Million End Of 2011!*

[thx1139]

Immortal said:

thx1139 said:

1.

Oct 2008 - Wii sold 1.603M
Jan 2009 - Wii sold 1.594M

Oct 2007 - Wii sold 1.05M
Jan 2008 - Wii sold 1.18M

2.

And many casuals just werent aware of Kinect and Move yet.   The more time, the more time they try at friends house (remember the majority of Kinects and Moves bought were not used until December 25th). The more time that goes by the more others will be exposed to Kinect and Move.  Not to mention that all the deals the Wii received were during the holiday buying season.  Those special deals drove a lot of extra sales.  The press I am talking about is not gaming press I am talking about the mainstream press and the mainstream press was good to Nintendo. Now they are saying Kinect out Wii's the Wii.

3. Last summer Wii had Super Mario Galaxy 2 and dont give me crap that wasnt high profile software.  JRPGs arent going to move much Wii hardware. In Japan maybe a little, but Japan is where Wii is tailing off the most. Was down like 50% in Japan in December YoY.

As for pricing Nintendo is going to go for profit before selling a couple of million more and they arent going to sell the Wii for $99 with 2 pieces of softwar free.

UGH! I clicked outside the box and it ruined my entire argument...

Okay, so really short -

1 - This year's different - other Octobers have been great, but this time Wii picked up in November.

2 - VS could easily counter Kinect/Move and then some if it releases. And, I was just reminded of uDraw -- that, too, could produce a similar effect. Also, exposure may not necessarily be able to make up for the massive hype and advertisement that Kinect won't have most of this year.

3 - One title doesn't do much unless it's along the lines of Halo 3, NSMBW or GT5. It needs a bunch of titles, which it seems to have this time. Also, Wii was down in Japan 'cause of NSMBW's HW boost. It'll have one significantly larger with DQX and it'll have TLS's boost, for whatever it'll be worth.

1. I see ignore the past trends, because you want the future trends to be different.  In the past Wii picked up in November as well.  This BF weekend and all holiday season long thier were great deals on Wii consoles of all colors that is what helped the Wii not fall as bad as the previous several months.  We dont have to wait long to find this out lets just watch January and February sales to get an idea.

January 2010
Region	Week 1	Week 2	Week 3	Week 4
Japan	72,323	56,636	43,206	40,773
America	185,850	153,259	185,911	181,210
EMEAA	289,851	151,055	130,254	132,470

2. How so?  Give us an idea of what a Heart Rate Monitor could do? I wear one everyday by the way. Use it to track estimated calories when I do something more physical than norm. Has helped me lose 80lbs.  Yet have no need for any sort of game to track how low my heart can get.  Which is the only idea people have mentioned sometimes calling the game Wii Relax. Not to mention something as simple as a Heart Rate Monitor attachement could easily be done by Sony and MS anyway and I am sure they explored it after Nintendo showed the Velocity Sensor. As for uDraw you expect anyone to support a 3rd party peripheral.

3. Boosts in Japan I will believe it when I see it.

 

Oh and by the Wii after the 1st week (according to OP) Wii is already down YoY 170,000