*Sound Of Rain said:
thx1139 said
So in 2011 why down 20%. Well first off why the OP thinks that Wii will do better in the 1st qtr this year compared to last is beyond me. January 2010 Wii did over 1.6M, October 2009 Wii did 1.5M. The reason I mention that is January usually performs similiar to the previous October. October 2010 Wii did 721K. There is no NSMBWii to help boost hardware sales in January 2011. The price cut wont come 1st qtr.
Then add in competition is more intense then ever for the Wii. No longer is Wii the only Motion based system on the market. Any price cut Nintendo does will also correspond with price cuts by Microsoft and Sony. The press and public are talking about Kinect, and the press has written articles about how the Wii is now passe. All of this points to the Wii selling less and the 360 and PS3 selling more.
Finally with 85 million consoles sold no longer will a software title make any measureable difference to the hardware sales. Not to mention Vitality Sensor is probably something that has simply been put aside and what it does can be done with Kinect. How do I mean? Well Kinect can sense how fast you are moving about and can estimate how much effort you would be putting in. Already titles on Kinect estimate your physical exertion without a device clipped to my finger.
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A Price Cut for the Wii is going to help sales more than you think...the PS2 sold 48% of its sales when its price was $150 or less...people always say that $200 is the magic price but in my opinion $150 is when systems really start to sell.
Yes, Move and Kinect will give customers more Motion control options but in the end the Wii is the cheapest, most casual, and most well known console out there still. I don't know if Move and Kinect can change that...
As for the Vitality Sensor...I don't think you could be more wrong.
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Well 360 will quite possibly hit $150 as well. Yes Wii is most well known and thus my time argument about 2010. Kinect just introduced and has only scratched the surface in exposure to possible consumers. By the time the big holiday selling period comes next year Kinect and Move will be far more exposed. They wll impact Wii sales a great deal more next year then they did this year.
As for the Vitality Sensor as I said last year. It is dead.
