Well, Kinect being successfull has seriously shaken my world view.
When I saw the lineup, I was 100% certain noone would buy it at it's price and it would end up unsuccessful.
I'm still waiting for a massive drop in sales.
I'm still sceptical of Kinect becasue when looking at the sales of previous failed addons (Sega CD and 32X) some things seem to be repeating themselves. 32X sold out for Sega but software sales were bad, and then after some time, hardware sales started to match software sales, and the system declined.
However, I think comparing it to the Mega CD is more revealing then the 32X. Mega CD had, like Kinect some games that sold really well on it, like one of the best platformers of all time, Sonic CD which sold 1.5M which is very impressive for its time. It was also first party dominated.
Mega CD also sold a total of 6 million hardware units, which with a Megadrive base of 29 million means that about every fifth Megadrive user had a Mega CD. So far, Kinect does not have that attach rate, but that might change.
Comparing Kinect to those old addons would probably be worth a thread of its own, but I'm ambivalent towards making one because I don't know if there would be any intelligent discussion in it. I would like to see what others would make out of comparing Kinect and maybe even Move to other old periphirals and addons. Does anyone think I should make one?
Anyways, Kinect being successful is hard to melt. But if software does go up, and it ends up as a healthy software ecosystem, I'll admit I was wrong.
I LOVE ICELAND!
