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My Prediction:

America about 65k a week.

Others about 35K a week.

Japan about 3K a week.

Total about 103k a week.

So I expect about 103K(105K) worldwide a week at the average rate but sales could drop below that average.

My Prediction for lowest possible selling Kinect week:

America shouldn't drop below 40K in a single week.

Others shouldn't drop below 20K in a single week.

Japan should drop below 500 Kinects in a single week.

Worldwide Kinect sales should be at least 60K every week in 2011 which means that it may drop below your 75K mark though I think the average will be about 100K or so a week.