| Pineapple said: I think a Nintendo DS price drop to 99 dollars would do wonders. I think "under 100 dollars" is a sweet spot for quite a lot of people. Pokemon Black/White isn't going to move a lot of DSes in itself. But it's going to keep the DS popular, in the sense that there is still plenty of software labeled "Nintendo DS" that sells loads. The DS hasn't really had new games for years, and it still sold like cupcakes. The evergreen titles on the DS are far more evergreen than the Wii titles. The only Wii title near the evergreen-ness of top the DS evergreens is Mario Kart Wii. And that even started dipping below Mario Kart DS before the bundle. The DS is fine without new software. The Wii isn't. Next year, Nintendo's focus is going to be the 3DS. Neither of the two are going to get much attention. That's a larger loss for the Wii than for the DS. In addition, the DS is more likely to have a pricecut. The only thing speaking in the Wii's advantage is the 3DS launching, and I'm not sure how much that is going to affect it, as they're going to be in completely different priceranges. I'd personally go for DS 18 million, Wii 16 million. The 3DS is going to end quite a lot lower that. It starts 4 million behind the other two due to its late launch, for instance. I have a feeling the 3DS is going to see the same kind of supply issues the Wii did, too. I'd guess 10-12 million sold.
|
Ugh! I made a huge post explaining my argument, but it was all drained away by my click outside of the quote window, ;(!
Anyway, I think I said that $99 will be 2012, Pokemon BW won't offset must-haves (Nintendogs, Brain Age, Mario Kart) being on 3DS, the Wii has a higher quantity of evergreens, 3DS development took away from Wii in 2010 since third parties will support 3DS next year and Nintendo can focus development on Wii since it needs it more and that 3DS will be higher because DS/Wii won't sell 4m in first two/three months of the year and because it is probably better supplied based on its "delay" and Nintendo's expectations.
I probably missed out some important details from my argument, but it's not my fault, ;P!
“These are my principles; if you don’t like them, I have others.” – Groucho Marx
