January is probably a bit bigger than October in the West, and its way bigger in Japan. Wii numbers worldwide (and PS3 to a lesser extent) should be up over Oct 2009 simply because Japanese figures will be higher than in October, which is really when everything kind of dies in Japan for a little while.
The thing to watch actually is DS and PSP in Japan - if 3DS hype is tremendous we could see those systems both drop off pretty quickly in Japan given the large bases they have. Both DS and PSP have pretty strong sw in Dec-Jan though.
Last Story will probably help maintain the Wii holiday momentum a bit into early 2011 but Wii did have an RE game in early 2010 so its not dramatically different although the Wii isn't going to peak as high as it did in holiday 2009 (nor is PS3 actually). The Mario Collection game is also gone by mid-January, which doesn't help as it effectively removes an evergreen.
Q1 2011 is really fairly strong for software, so hw should be ok across the board. Its after that, in Q2 that we probably get price cuts for a machine or two.
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
