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Notorius.A.i.G said:
Michael-5 said:
Darth Tigris said:
ethomaz said:
aznable said:

no1 is considering that gt4 have been released in february/march and gt5 in november?

no2 is considering the user base?

That's not really the same.  User base has proven to not matter much when it comes to sales, particularly this gen (see MGS3 vs MGS4, GoW2 vs GoW3, GeoW vs GeoW2, etc).

But releasing a big game during the holiday season vs late winter/early spring DOES matter.  A huge holiday release will always have larger initial sales numbers.

Yes, but releasing a game in the holidays does not necessarily mean higher lifetime sales. Mass Effect 2 is a perfect example of this, and I'm sure LBP2 and Dead Space 2 will also do the same.

This is why I expect GT5 to fall short of GT4 sales, wuite noticably too. Not only is it selling less week 1, despite black friday in US, and Holiday sales boosting stutus, but week 2 in EMEAA and Japan are A LOT weaker then week 2 for GT4.

GT5 is tracking below GT4 in EMEAA in Week 2 by around 20,000 ... that's not alot. Japan I agree with though.

No in EMEAA it's not by a lot, but you have to factor in the boost in initial sales due to the holiday window.

Even then, if GT5 sales on par with GT4 in EMEAA, it's still crashing in Americas and Japan, so the game will probably not break 9 million sales. That is unless they do extensive bundling in Americas (it's already extensivly bundled with the blue PS3 in Japan).



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