Statistical anomolies, predictions and unlikely million-sellers (Wii)

[Conegamer]

Degausser said:

Conegamer said:

Degausser said:

stopstopp said:

Degausser said:

 It's worth remembering that a portion of these legs are simply due to price cuts. How much it's very hard for us to tell, but even some of the games listed in the original post are half price or better in the UK alongside their apparent rise in sales. 

 Some of the sales used are distorted by Black Friday too, which is fine, but chances are some of the trends you're alluding to are going to be exclusive to the last 5 weeks of the year.

Provide 5 examples of full time price cuts on first party nintendo. I want to see these supposed price cuts

 There are some, albeit first party titles are rarer.

 My post was more aimed at the third party titles listed in the OP though, such as Sonic Colors (Already £17 / £10 with another game), Monster Hunter Tri (£17) and seems to be a trend with when a Wii games sales pick up. I've no idea how things are in the USA, but from what I've gathered and read, the legs often have alot in common with price cuts. I'm not trying to put a downer on anything here, just pointing it out.

PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE tell me where you can get Tri new for £17. I want to get it for a friend for Christmas but it's too expensive. As someone else has already said, they can't see it for any less than it's RRP...

Also, almost every game gets a price-cut at some point, but a price cut doesn't have the same prolonged effect on sales as games on the Wii do, and has been shown (in the OP)

 Cheapest is £19 now, was £17 a few weeks:

http://www.shopto.net/WII/VIDEO GAMES/WIIMO13-Monster Hunter Tri.html?affiliate_source=aw&awc=2943_1291553782_22d3329ff3bcf0f861dfb0fe878e7dc0

EDIT: IT's also under £10 if you can get into a Costco, but not many people can. Worth a mention :P. Might be store specific but I got it for £9.95 at Milton Keynes Costco :D.

 My suggestion is the prolonged effect of sales on the Wii is caused by the price cut, but only on the Wii. The two go hand in hand. It's very hard to quantify, and is obviously just based off my experience in the UK, but I typically don't see Wii games (Bar Nintendo's own) hold their price for very long, and they quickly become dirt cheap (Got Madworld for £4, Samba Di Amigo £5) etc.

 It's somewhere in the middle of the two anyway, and probably varies on a case by case basis. The NPD figures for 2009 were that first party Wii games sold for on average $55 per copy, whereas third party sold on average $37 per copy, which to me suggest price cuts have to be considered somewhere for third party software.

 (Source is from Micheal Pachter when he responded to Neogaf). It ran the news on a number of sites earlier in the year.

Hmm, well thanks for the link (none left there now )

Also, the reason these games become dirt cheap is, like Squilliam rightly said, they are all games vying for shelf space in a landscape dominated by Nintendo. Many games retail at bugdet price (Just Dance: £19.99, even Epic Mickey at £24.99) which of course drags the average down.

Does a price cut skew the data? Yes, but even without price cuts the data is undeniable; Wii games have different sales patterns compared to their HD counterparts, price cut or not