Could PS3 be the #1 selling home console in EMEAA in Q4? I think so!

[Michael-5]

postofficebuddy said:

Michael-5 said:

pezus said:

Michael-5 said:

Not a chance. Wii sales always jump in November/December. However the 3 home consoles will have a smaller sales spread then in the past.

It's November already and PS3 is ahead without GT5!

Yea, but the holiday season is only just starting. End of November/December sales trump the rest of the year, and last year Nintendo made a third of their yearly sales in December alone. If you look at trends, Wii sales have also been growing more rapidly then PS3 sales. It will be closer then in the past, but I think PS3 sales from now until the end of the year will only just best 360 sales. Wii is on its own league.

GT5 will only offset DKCR sales at best.

As I pointed out above if you look at the YOY comparison you can see it's still very much up in the air. Assuming PS3 can remain at least flat in December (all signs point towards it being up) the best case scenario I can see for the Wii is it outselling the PS3 by 600k in December and that's being pretty optimistic about the Wii's YOY chances and pessimistic about the PS3's.

For Q4 PS3 is only ahead of the Wii by about 330k, and most of that is from October sales. Like I said Wii sales pick up at this point, I expect December sales for the Wii to be 100-200k greater the PS3 weekly. So Wii should end up with up to 500k more sales then PS3 for Q4. 360 is a better compeditor for the PS3, after Kinect PS3 and 360 sales are alost level. PS3 will be above 360, but not by as much as Wii will be above PS3.

If you look at PS3 sales, they haven't increased much since early October, and there are no real signs for it to jump on a weekly basis for December. GT5 will boost PS3 sales, but probably no more then a couple weeks like Halo did in Americas.

I mean it's possible, but it's unlikely. I don't think GT5 will be enough to kill the Wii momentum.Worst case all 3 home consoles will see similar sales figures.