When do you think ps3 will outsell 360

[Michael-5]

Capulous said:

Michael-5 said:

 

Microsoft won't let Sony beat them because if the PS3 outsells the 360, MS gaming reputation will be hurt badly. Sony doesn't want to loose either, but MS has larger pockets, and will always retain Americas dominance (so sales will never strongly favor one HD console over the other). I mean just look at Kinect, on it's own it has enough selling potential to keep up with the PS3 Move, but MS still decided to throw a 100 million dollar marketing budget at it.

So assuming both successor consoles are launched on the same year, I would give this range on the sales difference. Minimum 1 million (PS3 outsells the 360 by an average of 20% in the next couple years), Maximum 7 (360 outsells the PS3 by an average of 20%). Both options look equal to me, I know a $200 PS3 should push sales, but a $100 Arcade 360. Thats more tempting, especially since by that point talks of a successor console will be happening.

I don't think that would happen. See what the 360 has done compared to what the original Xbox did. I think MS will be fine and they will continue to do well if it happens.

But imagine the reputation MS would have built if they overthrew Sony, and was the best selling HD console to date? Both consoels sell about equally, and even if Sony does establish a lead on sales in 2011 (which will be hard because even without Kinect the 360 is still the best selling console in Americas), it won't be by much.

The only way I see Sony having a chance at overtaking the 360 is if Sony makes an arcade model, but even then I'm unsure. Even with a price cut to $200, MS will do the same, and have the arcade for $130 or less. EVEN IF PS3 somehow manages to significantly outsell the 360 in the next 2 years with the price cut, 360's are still cheaper to produce, so MS can easily bring the price down, so that a similar trend in 2008 happens (MS had peak lead).

Remember this is the first year Sony is actually making a profit on PS3 hardware sales, if MS brought their consoles price down to cost, PS3 just wouldn't be able to match it. Sony is already putting in everything they got, if MS did the same, it would garentee second.