Nice to see some discussion going on. I know PS1 would be a better comparison but i don't have numbers for that and besides the idea here isn't the PS3 outselling the PS2. It was more of a comparison with PS2 numbers to try and see what we might expect from the PS3 in the future, considering it's higher price point and the fact that it's also at the least going to have a 10 year lifespan.
It is a shame to see some ''no way'' comments however, without these stating how they do expect the PS3 to perform in the future. So let me paint a scenario that i think is most likely to happen:
Looking at it's current PS3 YTD sales at 1.5 million higher than last year(when it did over 12 million in the total year), and with GT5 probably launching in December i think it's save to say that PS3 will be atleast at 45 million at the end of year(wich means 13 million for 2010). Then next year we are likely to see some sort of price cut, and with a healthy amount of exclusive titles coming up and better Move software support sales should increase even further next year. Looking at next 3 years in total(2011-2013) i think we should probably see 2 price cuts, with the price of the PS3 being at $199 in 2013 at the latest. Considering this i see it likely for the PS3 to sale atleast 40 million in those three years, maybe even more if a $199 price point gives it a big boost.
This means that the PS3 would be over 85 million at the end of 2013, 7 years in it's life cycle. It should then easily do 5 million a year after that, because the PS2 did over 10 million in it's 8th year. Also the PS2 is now in it's 10th(10 and a half in Japan) and will probably keep on selling for a few more years, meaning that PS3 could have an lyfe cycle of more than 10 years. This way passing the 100 million actually seem very likely to me.
