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Just something that catched my attention:

1 Call of Duty: Black Ops X360 4 97,016 1,160,825
2 Call of Duty: Black Ops PS3 4 42,096 617,249

Total : 1,778,074

And this what it was like at the same period:

1 Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 X360 4 150,279 1,143,824
2 Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 PS3 4 46,209 368,882

Total : 1,512,706

So there's more pre-oders this year, but it's all thanks to the PS3. The following week of MW2 was like this:

1 Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 X360 3 295,004 1,438,828
2 Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 PS3 3 112,003 480,885

Total : 1,919,713

I don't see Black Ops pre-orders rising up to 300k in a week.

So unless a miracle happens, I think that Activision's forcast of doing better with Black Ops than MW2 is unlikely. But I can be wrong.