Pyramid12 said:
Michael-5 said:
Pyramid12 said:
Michael-5 said:
Compare GT5 Prologue sales in Japan to GT4 Prologue sales in Japan (EMEAA figures should be ignored because Prologue came out a month before the game did in EMEAA). With 2 years to sell GT5P, instead of 1 year GT4P had, GT5P still undersold GT4P by 220k. GT4P outsold GT5P by 38.6% in half the time.
GT3 also was bundled heavily in Americas, all other GT's did not sell that well in Americas. GT5 Pre-orders indicate the same trend all past GT games have had. So if GT5 manages to somehow do as well as all past GT's, it will only get 10 million at best, but with weak attention in Japan, and weak Pre-orders in Americas, I doubt it will do that well.
So I think GT5 will sell 8.5 million, which is stll damn good for a PS3 exclusive, and very reasonable.
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OK.......?
Compare GT5P to GT4p?
GT5P = 5m sold ON A CONSOLE WITH 37m userbase
GT4P = 1.3m ON A CONSOLE WITH OVER 100m userbase.
thx for further proving my point.
GT games never sold well in NA? is that why GT4 sold nearly 3m in NA while FIRST WEEK sales is LOWER than GOD OF WAR 3 in NA?
And 10m at best? that fine with me since that will make 90% of the ppl in this forum EAT CROW.
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Thanks for ignoring my point entirely. GT4 Prologue was not released on the PS2 in Americas, and was only released in EMEAA a month before GT4. The only viable market you can compare GT5P and GT4P is in Japan, and GT4P outsold GT5P by roughly 38%, even though it was released only a year before GT4, opposed to GT5P being released 2 years before GT5.
I am not making any userbase arguement, strictly sales. Baised off GT5P sales, GT5 will not be as strong in Japan as prior GT games. With the poor Pre-orders GT5's is getting in Americas, GT5 sales at best will mimic GT 1, 2, or 4 sales, and even then I doubt that. The evidence I have presented shows that in Japan and Americas, GT5 will not be as strong as prior GT games. It will still be a strong game, my predicted 8.5 million sales is nothing to laugh about. Forza games generally only get about 4 million.
3 million in Americas is strong, but if you expect the game to sell 10 million, your putting a lot of pressure on the EMEAA regions.
BTW eat crow??
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And thats where GT5 shines my boy EMEAA.
ever notice how halo reach sold 3m in NA while EMEAA and JAPAN ain't that strong? yeh? well same with GT5 but this time EMEAA is the HIGHEST out of 3 region.
and yeh if GT5 lands a 10m lots of crow serving is gonna happen around here heck just 9m is enough to have massive crow serving, If you made silly claims about GT5 before(I dunno like 5m LTD or sumthing?) EDIT IT QUICKLY LOL!
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Oh I know GT shines in the EMEAA region, and if GT5 sells 3 million in Americas, there is a reasonable chance that it will sell 10 million WW. I just think 3 million Americas and 10 million WW are best case scenarios. Possible, just unlikely.
Just looking at trends, GT games have been loosing popularity in Japan over time, GT5P only sold about 1.5 million in Americas, and well, I've made my point.
I'm thinking 8.5 million, which is still good.
P.S. of course GT5 will sell better in EMEAA, it's PS3's largest market, and also the most car crazed market of the three.
