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Yup even beating the newly crowned leader Pokemon Black/White at 2.6 million first week, I believe Monster Hunter Freedom 3 on the PSP can be the biggest launch for a game in Japan ever.

Here's the facts:

A look at the pre-orders.

Sept5: 440K

Sept12: 560K

Sept19: 650K

Sept26: 750K

In a month it received 300K+ preorders, MHF3 is releasing in Japan December 1, 2010 (2 months away still), so let's say this pattern keeps up, that's another 600K preorders or 1.35 million pre-orders in total (I assume close to the launch the number will go up drastically, so this should be about the MINIMUM number of preorders). Pokemon Black/White had 1.65 million pre-orders when it launched.

In the daily updated charts Monster Hunter Freedom 3 is by far the highest scored game with 2299 points, second place being GT5 with 290 points.

Also just a heads up here's Japans top 10 first week games

1
Pocket Monsters Black / White (DS)
ポケットモンスター ブラック・ホワイト‎
Nintendo
2010 1 2,609,129 2,609,129
2
Final Fantasy VIII (PS)
ファイナルファンタジー VIII
Square
1999 1 2,592,405 2,592,405
3
Dragon Quest IX: Hoshizora no Mamoribito(DS)
ドラゴンクエストIX 星空の守り人
Square Enix
2009 1 2,338,221 2,338,221
4
Dragon Quest VIII: Sora to Umi to Daichi to Norowareshi Himegimi (PS2)
ドラゴンクエストVIII 空と海と大地と呪われし姫君
Enix
2004 1 2,267,827 2,267,827
5
Final Fantasy IX (PS)
ファイナルファンタジー IX
Square
2000 1 2,031,207 2,031,207
6
Final Fantasy VII (PS)
ファイナルファンタジー VII
Square
1997 1 2,025,834 2,025,834
7
Final Fantasy X (PS2)
ファイナルファンタジーX
Square
2001 1 1,906,152 1,906,152
8
Dragon Quest VII: Eden no Senshi-tachi (PS)
ドラゴンクエストVII エデンの戦士たち
Enix
2000 1 1,821,450 1,821,450
9
Final Fantasy XII (PS2)
ファイナルファンタジー XII
Square Enix
2006 1 1,819,872 1,819,872
10
Pokémon Diamond / Pearl (DS)
ポケットモンスター ダイヤモンド / パール
Nintendo
2006 1 1,646,064 1,646,064

If Monster Hunter Freedom 3 doesn't make first it'll definitely be in the top 3.