Gears of War 3-Biggest game of 2011?

[Michael-5]

c0rd said:

Yeah, Gears is huge, and I love the series and all, but let's be serious. It is not a 7 million seller, especially within 7 months. I see it getting as high as 5-5.5 million by the end of 2011, but not much further.

That kind of total is not nearly enough to top the year for sales, not even close. Just look at VGC's worldwide yearly chart, there are far too many big games releasing every year for 5 million to be a contender. Hell, I'll bet on at least 3 (maybe one currently unknown) Nintendo games topping 6 million.

I think the blog is reffering to new games. Of course Wii Sports, Wii Sports Resorts, and most likely FlingSmash will outsell Gears of War 3, they all come bundled with a controller, or the console itself. However how many new games will outsell Gears 3?

The Legend of Zelda: Skyward Sword is definatly a contender, and Nintendo will probably make some other 10 million plus title (Wii relax, Wii Party 2, it could be anything). Modern Warfare 3, Pokemon Black/White, and GTA V are other contenders, but other then that what else is there? Thats only 5 games, potentially...

In the past the only games to outsell Gears this gen are Call of Duty, Halo, Wii --, Mario Kart, Pokemon, Brain Age, Nintendogs, Super Mario Bros/Galaxy, Smash Bros, GTA, Mario & Sonic, Mario Party, and Animal Crossing (DS). How many of these games are having sequels in 2011?

Personally I beleive Pokemon B&W, Zelda, a new Wii --- game, MW3 WILL outsell Gears of War 3. I don't think the 3DS will have many mega blockbuster titles until 2012 (generally first year sales are slow on handhelds). I think any 3DS game released in 2011 will surpass Gears 3 sales only in the years after 2011 since handheld games generally sell over time. Maybe 1 will beat Gears 3 in 2011, thats all I will give credit to.

So 5 games for sure, one or two more as maybe's. Thats enough to says Gears won't be the biggest game in 2011.

However will it be the biggest HD exclusive? Damn straight it will be.