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There is this place called hell and the X360 doesn't have a chance in it.

 

Reach speaks mostly to current X360 owners.
Kinect won't grab the casual's as fast as MS thinks it will (price and Wii ubiquity).

Donkey Kong and Goldeneye appeal to older gamers who aren't likely to already own a Wii.
Consumer market trends heavily favors Wii during any gift giving season.



The rEVOLution is not being televised