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In my opinion, 200 million is a resepctable goal to shoot for, and I think as much as 300 million is JUST inside the realm of possibility, depending on how long they keep manufacturing the system (handhelds usually have a longer life than consoles, as the Game Boy lasted thru NES and SNES, and GBA through N64 and most of 'Cube). I have a strong feeling it will get to 100 million before they drop to the magic price of $99, at which point we all know that sales go nuts.