EMEAA UP 28. august

[Michael-5]

*Sound Of Rain said:

(Above Post)

Nintendo has already said that the Vitality Sensor will be out before March 2011 ends and so it could make it out for Holiday 2010.

Anyway the P.S.3 and 360 will be hard to predict this year and while America is the largest market it still isn't the only market and I expect a few 100K weeks for P.S.3 in Japan alone and with Others I think P.S.3 can outsell the 360 by a decent amount but not in the same way 360 outsells P.S.3 in America but with Japan as well Sony could take #2 this Holiday...I expect G.T.5 to be as big in Others as Halo Reach will be in America. I do agree though that Kinect should be bigger in both Others and America but I still don't think it will do to much do to price.

See if you follow GT5 sales, they aren't massive at launch. I don't think GT5 will affect EMEAA and Japan as Halo does the Americas immediatly. GT5 will push help push consoles, and sell units in 2011, but in the month or two it has in 2010, it just won't be as heavy of a hitter as Halo.

For EMEAA, I'm willing to admit that the PS3 may outsell the 360, but it will be a close call, and Japan will help PS3 sales, but it's such a small market, I mean there is only 5-6 million total PS3's there. Americas is the largest market, and worldwide, I really doubt PS3 will outsell 360 this year simply because I think 360 will dominate Americas sales, and at least come close to tie PS3 EMEAA sales. I mean 360 most likely has dominant sales until Novemeber (GT5) in EMEAA, and PS3 will rebound in Novemeber and December, but even so it won't get that much more sales then 360.

Thats why I said EMEAA is iffy, it's debatable. I'm pro-360 for EMEAA simply because I don't think GT5 will be enough. Sales for GT5 will pick up slowly (at absolute best GT5 gets 5 million WW by the end of the year, more realistically 4 million, so thats like what 2-3 million EMEAA?), and Kinect will budge 360 sales a significant amount (maybe 1 million units sold, 200-300k from bundles in EMEAA). Halo still has a decent push in 360 sales in EMEAA largly thanks to UK, and the Slim Effect will stay until end of October. PS3 will outsell the 360 in November, but I don't know by how much, or if it will balance sales from 360's superiority from September/October.

Anyway, as for Wii, I have been hearing about this game called Wii Relax. Since most Wii titles franchises come with a peripheral, I am betting that will be the game that uses the Vitality sensor. However, it's not like Nintendo to surprise announce any games, it feels like thats a 2011 title. However Nintendo said before March 2011, so who knows. Didn't Wii Fit come out in Spring? Regardless I agree with you that Wii will dominate holidays sales. 360 may come close in specific regions (like US, or UK), but in general, Wii will own. Maybe not by as much as before, but I expect the Wii to sell 16 million units by the end of the year (it's at 8 now).