*Sound Of Rain said:
The Wii has had zero big games this year besides for Super Mario Galaxy 2 and games(along with price) sell consoles. When games actually are out for the Wii it will start selling along with the normal huge Holiday boost for Wii it will be #1 yet again this Holiday. Wii games sell for many years and I fully expect Mario Kart Wii, Wii Fit Plus, and New Super Mario Bros. Wii(Along with the bundled Wii Sports and Resort) to still help sell consoles this Holiday...That along with the new games such as Wii Party witch I fully expect to be the N.S.M.B.W of 2010. Also the Wii brand has become so big this Gen that it only needs 2 big games a year to outsell the P.S.3 and 360 and this year the Wii has at least 3! Also price will have a big effect even if new Motion controls are out the Wii is still miles cheaper and will help it be the big family item again like always. As for P.S.3>360 is because the 360 Slim effect will be gone by the time the Holiday's start because many old 360 owners are the ones who are buying the Slim. In America I wouldn't be surprised if 360 was close to Wii #'s but in Others P.S.3 will be ahead of 360 for most of the year starting in October and Japan I don't need to explain...To be honest in my opinion I say the 360 will only be in the race this Holiday because of America which I don't think is enough to beat P.S.3 Worldwide. P.S.3 will be strong in Others and Japan this year. Also not that it matters all that much but Sony has 7 Move games published by them due to come out in 2010 as well as others that can use it like Heavy Rain and LittleBigPlanet 2. |
I agree 100% on you about Wii picking up pace during the Holdiays, for your reasons, and also for the added reason that Wii sales are generally strongest during the holidays (probably because parents buy it for their kids and stuff).
As for PS3 >360, I completly disagree. The PS3 experienced it's Slim effect until, well until the 360 made a Slim model. It's true the PS3 Slim had the old SKU to face with where the 360 Slim has the PS3 Slim to face with, but the Slim effect will not die out by the holidays. Holiday sales begin to pick up in September and October, and the 360 is still outselling the PS3 worldwide by 60k a week, or by over 30%. Without Halo the 360 Slim would continue to hold 360 sales until GT5, but with Halo, the 360 gets a big early holiday boost.
As for EMEAA, thats iffy, at best Sony can expect to match sales when GT5 come out, but until then it's still 360 territory (remember UK is heavily 360 biased, and it sells more consoles then any other country in EMEAA). However MS has Kinect, and the success of Kinect is hard to predict. It may sell as well as a good game, it may push more units then GT5 or Halo.
I don't think the PS3 will experience a lead in sales over the 360 until 2011, and even then thats a maybe. The one year PS3 outsold 360, I blaime for the Slim, and Sony can't pull that move again. The 360 has Halo, Kinect, and Fable, and all three will push more consoles then GT5, Move, and LBP2. GT5 versus Halo is debatable, but then there is also a 360 bundled Call of Duty, the slim effect, and 360 generally has been the beeter selling system in the past. NO new PS3 Slim, means 360 edge, this is not 2009.
BTW, there will be 21 Move titles by the end of the year in Americas, and 20 Kinect games in Americas. However a couple move games are simply compatible with games currently out (like Resident Evil 5: Gold Edition).
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