The problem is that a lot of these scenarios fail to take into account the interconnected nature of the factors themselves. The reason for one factor being what it is, is usually based on another factor being what it is, etc...
So would the Wii sell this well if it didn't have buzz? The answer is no, because if it didn't have the buzz it would be because it wasn't worthy of the buzz and thus sales would not be as good. But unfortunately that changes so many things it is beyond reasonable. This is why "What if" scenarios are not worthwhile in any analytical sense, but they can be amusing to ponder i suppose.
In that light I wonder what the difference would be for software if the 360 hadn't had a 1 year head start. But then when I consider just how many decisions each company has made based on the 360's year head start I once again realize that any conclusion I come to based on the "what if" is for all intents and purposes wild speculation. But interesting nonetheless.
 |
| To Each Man, Responsibility |
