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Great analisis DirtyP. I agree with you that Move will fail because it's a mish mash and doesn't know what it wants to be. To be honest none of the Move games is exactly impressing people. I haven't seen anyone truly excited for anything on the Move.

Meanwhile Kinnect is strictly focused only on the casual audience for now. It's the right thing to do. If it later turns out that the device will be useful for hardcore games they will come naturally with time but it's wise to not force them out. Kinect is not meant to attract Xbox male teens.

Dance Central will steal the girls.

The Fitness game will steal the moms.

And Kinectimals will steal the kids.