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Sales - WW Up! - View Post

c0rd said:

GAH! Had a huge response for the bolded typed up, and Vista BSOD's on me.

Okay, basically, I think you're wrong. Even if Galaxy 2 and FFXIII were even (they're not, SMG2 being a sequel hurts it big time, look how much hardware it moved in Japan), that's far from the only PS3 game released. I don't actually know why you'd say the PS3 has not had a stellar year so far, when it has had one of its best yet (maybe on par with 08). Check out the top games released in the year so far:

1
Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Wii)
Nintendo
11 3,442,566 3,442,566
2
God of War III (PS3)
Sony Computer Entertainment
21 2,848,914 2,848,914
3
Final Fantasy XIII (PS3)
Square Enix
34 2,457,191 4,209,436
4
Red Dead Redemption (PS3)
Take-Two Interactive
12 2,335,720 2,335,720
5
Battlefield: Bad Company 2 (PS3)
Electronic Arts
23 1,732,674 1,732,674
6
Heavy Rain (PS3)
Sony Computer Entertainment
25 1,392,405 1,392,405
7
MAG: Massive Action Game (PS3)
Sony Computer Entertainment
28 886,893 886,893
8
2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa (PS3)
Electronic Arts
15 833,620 833,620
9
Grand Theft Auto: Episodes from Liberty City (PS3)
Take-Two Interactive
17 782,348 782,348
10
Super Street Fighter IV (PS3)
Capcom
15 729,661 729,661
11
BioShock 2 (PS3)
Take-Two Interactive
26 715,937 715,937
  (~8 more omitted PS3 games)      
20
Wii Party (Wii)
Nintendo
5 611,062 611,062
22
Monster Hunter Tri (Wii)
Capcom
54 560,346 1,555,186

The PS3 games at the top are not only IP's the console has never seen yet, but they're games from all different genres, appealing to all different types of gamers. That is a damn good Jan-Aug lineup, if you'd ask me.

The Wii is mainly selling on its old lineup, which was fine early 2009 because Wii Sports / Fit / MK hadn't saturated yet, but... clearly, it has reached its limit as of late. New Super Mario Bros Wii can only take it so far, especially when the HD consoles got its own biggest seller in the same time period (MW2). The Wii's 2010 holiday lineup is great, so its sales should be fine in the Nov-Dec period (assuming the games do well), though if Nintendo has another drought early 2011, I can see the Wii being in (real) trouble. Zelda Wii should end up holding its own better than Galaxy 2, though.

Hrm... this definitely paints an interesting picture for sure. Actually, let's look at each console's top ten sellers of 2010, and see when each game was released!

Wii (1 title released in 2010):

1. Wii Sports (2006)
2. New Super Mario Bros. Wii (2009)
3. Wii Fit Plus (2009)
4. Wii Sports Resort (2009)
5. Super Mario Galaxy 2 (2010)
6. Just Dance (2009)
7. Mario Kart Wii (2008)
8. Wii Play (2006/7)
9. EA Sports Active (2009)
10. Maro and Sonic at the Olympic Games (2009)

360 (6 titles released in 2010):

1. Red Dead Redemption (2010)
2. Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 (2009)
3. Battlefield: Bad Company 2 (2010)
4. Mass Effect 2 (2010)
5. Final Fantasy XIII (2010)
6. Splinter Cell: Conviction (2010)
7. Bioshock 2 (2010)
8. Halo 3: ODST (2009)
9. Assassin's Creed II (2009)
10. Forza Motorsport 3 (2009)

PS3 (7 titles released in 2010):

1. God of War III (2010)
2. Final Fantasy XIII (2009/2010)
3. Red Dead Redemption (2010)
4. Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 (2009)
5. Battlefield: Bad Company 2 (2010)
6. Heavy Rain (2010)
7. Assassin's Creed II (2009)
8. God of War Collection (2009/2010)
9. MAG (2010)
10. Uncharted 2: Among Thieves (2009)

So it's easy to see that PS3/360's hardware movers have been mostly released this year, while Wii's hardware movers have been from 2009 and even before. So as someone who follows Wii sales, I'm really interested to see how this holiday season (and more importantly, the plethora of potential hardware movers it brings with it) does to the Wii's sales.

I'm not worried about the Wii for the holiday season, but I hope that Nintendo can focus on the console going into the Spring and Summer 2011 seasons as well. Skyward Sword looks great, but the console needs more than that to get more potential buyers to bite.