| Joelcool7 said: I think Nintendo is loosing market share because as many said Nintendo's Wii was marketed to casual non-gamers. The Wii may have got some people into gaming I'd say about 5-10% but the others bought it as a fitness tool or as a quick game system for when they have guests, a quick game of bowling or Tennis every few months. Is Wii past its prime (Yes) is Wii going to keep selling (Yes), will it sell alot less then in the past (Yes) will it loose marketshare to Microsoft's Kinect (Possible). Fact is Nintendo has to make a choice and I believe they have. Try to target the core audience again like they used too, or try to create the next trend (Innovative product that takes the market by storm). Nintendo has chosen the latter, Iwata clearly said the next Nintendo console will revolutionalize the way we play games, it will do what the Wii can't it will be an entirely new and innovative product. The problem with such an innovative and revolutionary product is that Nintendo is essentially gambling big time. They are neglecting their core demographic to target a non-existant new demographic. Sure they've hit the market twice in a row now (DS/Wii) but they shouldn't push their luck. If their next product fails to capture the minds and hearts of non-Gamers then Nintendo has nothing to fall back on, their core demographic just isn't what it used to be. My predictions, Wii will push another 10-15 mill before it dissapears, I am including sales after the next generation begins. Why? I expect Nintendo to hit sales alittle higher or barely lower then the competition. I expect Kinect to fail miserably pushing Microsoft sales down and Move will be only minimally successful, Sony may rise to the leader position on a weekly or monthly basis but I suspect Nintendo will keep on fighting. So given their is still another 3 years at least left in the Wii's lifespan I think 5-mill a year is reasonable. Also I think price is a major reason Wii is slacking the new 360 model sells for 199.99$ and the Wii is supposed to also retail for 199.99$. I suspect Nintendo will have to drop the price radically probubly to about 99.99$ in order to maintain any form of dominance , it also needs a good mixture of hardcore and casuals games. Zelda alone won't save Wii's marketshare but neither will WiiFit:Extreme (Wiifit3). Or what ever new product they innovate with. Nintendo needs a mixture of casual and hardcore software to maintain hardware superiority. But in the end I don't think Nintendo can be toppled entirely this generation they will still end with a larger marketshare then the competition but they will have a much smaller marketshare then if they succesfully targetr both casual and hardcore! |
10-15 million more total? I think people are forgetting how big holiday sales are. The Wii will sell close to 10 million more by the end of the year at the very least 7-8 million more. The Wii passing at least the 100 million mark is all but guaranteed at this point, with the only way it won't happen is if Nintendo for some reason decided to disccontinue production after its successor comes out, but that wont happen.
I do think the Wii is going to fall behind the PS2 at some point, just because of the lack of 3rd party support after Nintendo moves on to their next console. It won't continue to get releases the way the PS2 did. But it will still end as the second best selling home console of all time, which is quite an acomplishment after following up the Gamecube, and is certainly far beyond what anyone could have expected before the generation started.
