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TheSource said:

PS2 peaked at 22.5m in a year (production shipments) and fell to 16m two years after its peak (-6.5m, -29%) Wii peaked at 26m in a year (year ending March 2009) and is trending for 18m in the March 2011 year (-8m, -31%). On a unit basis its a steeper decline than any console but since Wii had a higher peak its largely in line with the PS2 trajectory by percentage. Compare that to any other console, and Wii looks amazing still. PS1 went from 21.6m in its peak year to 9.3m two years later (-57%). If Sony meets its PSP projection the peak (14.1m) to two years past peak drop (8m, -43%) is much steeper than Wii as well.


As you theorized with a $25-$35 cut I can see them reaching 18 million this fiscal year but I'm starting to think it will be a slightly tall order without one. I suspect 17 million will be more likely staying at the $200 price point.



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