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postofficebuddy said:

Your Halo prediction is a bit optimistic even if it does match or slightly beat MW2 (360) in Americas. One thing people neglect to account for is that MW2 is much larger in PAL, it's already beat Halo 3 there by a fair margin. And in regards to GT5's first week, in Americas preorders are trending in line with MW2 (PS3) which had a 1.6 million opening. On top of that although it hasn't been officially announced yet all evidence currently suggests a worldwide launch so it will have 4 days to sell in EMEAA rather than just 1 that most games have. So most likely first week in EMEAA will probably be bigger than in Americas.

You neglect that Halo 3 was launched to a much smaller userbase. The 360 userbase has grown significantly since 2007 and that's potential for a much bigger launch.

Anyhow, the launch will without a doubt be bigger than his prediction of 3 million. Personally, I'd be surprised if its under 5 million.



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